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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788googleplaykeeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1
Record (consensus markets)100% (2–0, n=2)40% (2–3, n=5)43% (129–174, n=303)no settled market
Consensus PnL$245K$391K$115K—
Tracked asPM monthly #83PM monthly #17PM monthly #33PM monthly #151
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)51% (56 of 110 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic———NFL −8 pts, n=71
Settled positions, side won100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢0%0%6% (won 100% of 9)19% (won 10% of 96)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 70% of 10)42% (won 100% of 63)21% (won 35% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 1)76% (won 85% of 41)40% (won 100% of 61)27% (won 54% of 132)
Entries 70¢ and up0%6% (won 100% of 3)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 91% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788googleplaykeeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Bucks $19KKnicks $54K—