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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677Likaseent
Record (consensus markets)35% (3641–6652, n=10293)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)45% (10–12, n=22)26% (304–856, n=1160)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$3.5M$5.3M$31K
Tracked asPM monthly #558PM monthly #22PM monthly #2PM monthly #121
Sides with the consensus66% (23 of 35 open)75% (190 of 253 open)no open consensus position62% (8 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Soccer ±0 pts, n=26
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%43% of 475 at avg 44¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)50% (won 2% of 237)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 35% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)8% (won 64% of 36)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)37% (won 96% of 176)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677Likaseent
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Jan-Lennard Struff $12KCasper Ruud $43K——
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $30KOlympique de Marseille $6.8K——
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.3KOver $447——
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.9KUnder $37——
Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
FK Kauno Žalgiris $69FC Lugano $2.1K——
Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Páfos FC
FC Twente $244Páfos FC $419——
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $14KBianca Andreescu $3.4K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.2KUnder $13K——
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $804Under $14K——
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $369Under $12K——
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.6KUnder $5.0K——
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Federico Coria
Federico Coria $7.0KFederico Coria $112——
Charlottesville: Maks Kasnikowski vs Michael Antonius
same side · consensus Maks Kasnikowski
Maks Kasnikowski $2.1KMaks Kasnikowski $62——
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $310Under $575——
Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group B
same side · consensus maybe
maybe $160maybe $82——