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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677Likaseent
Record (consensus markets)35% (3641–6645, n=10286)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)45% (10–12, n=22)27% (310–858, n=1168)
Consensus PnL$2.9M$3.6M$5.3M$31K
Tracked asPM monthly #129PM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #117
Sides with the consensus53% (8 of 15 open)76% (105 of 138 open)no open consensus position62% (8 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Soccer ±0 pts, n=26
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%43% of 475 at avg 44¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)50% (won 2% of 237)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 35% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)8% (won 64% of 36)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)37% (won 96% of 176)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677Likaseent
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3Under $1.5K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul $21KTommy Paul $45——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
Harold Mayot $1.4KHarold Mayot $1.1K——