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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1primmRadioCCOD
Record (consensus markets)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)63% (1100–635, n=1735)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)39% (127–196, n=323)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$4.6M$3.7M$31K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #110PM monthly #39PM monthly #949
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)71% (67 of 94 open)no open consensus position84% (165 of 196 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=158—Soccer −1 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%41% of 262 at avg 20¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 196)5% (won 95% of 59)74% (won 24% of 194)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)18% (won 40% of 283)40% (won 99% of 512)11% (won 82% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 58% of 348)50% (won 100% of 633)12% (won 94% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)46% (won 94% of 710)5% (won 100% of 65)3% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1primmRadioCCOD
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $357—Yes $3