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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| forgotmydinner | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 31% (62–135, n=197) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) |
| Consensus PnL | $102K | -$6.6M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #48 | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (73 of 104 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (48 of 71 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | NBA ±0 pts, n=10 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 20% of 173 at avg 14¢, ROI +19% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 85% (won 7% of 147) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 71% of 7) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 100% of 4) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 100% of 15) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | forgotmydinner | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $55 | — | No $335K |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $113 | — | Yes $525 |