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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| forrestgumper | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (463–580, n=1043) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $68K | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #971 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (3 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 52% (32 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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|
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 714 at avg 49¢, ROI +7% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 24% of 208) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 56% of 133) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 84% of 178) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 95% of 195) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | forrestgumper | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $884 | — | No $18 |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $81 | — | Over $526 |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $32 | — | No $3.3K |