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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| grinder1011 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (101–136, n=237) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.4K | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #748 | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | 32% (19 of 59 open) | 68% (48 of 71 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 134 at avg 41¢, ROI +5% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 46% (won 7% of 61) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 75% of 16) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 80% of 20) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 95% of 37) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | grinder1011 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.2K | No $97K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $3.0K | Yes $90K |