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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1BreakTheBankbeachboy4joseph006770x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-177764853424100gringo00
| grinder1011 | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (104–137, n=241) | 66% (872–458, n=1330) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.4K | $4.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #748 | PM monthly #25 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (62 of 149 open) | 72% (93 of 129 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −10 pts, n=11 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 178 at avg 42¢, ROI +5% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 46% (won 13% of 82) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 68% of 22) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 74% of 23) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 94% of 51) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | grinder1011 | ndb1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.2K | Yes $2.9M | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $49 | No $1.5M | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $325 | No $1.4M | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.6K | No $88K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $3.5K | Yes $78K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | Yes $1.7K | Yes $559K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $423 | No $78K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.6K | No $3.1K | — |