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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677BreakTheBank0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816surfandturf
Record (consensus markets)50% (10–10, n=20)45% (542–652, n=1194)61% (495–320, n=815)52% (273–252, n=525)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$10.6M$4.8M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #1was PM monthly #51was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position90% (147 of 164 open)50% (5 of 10 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topic——Soccer ±0 pts, n=115NFL −11 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 82% of 56)15% (won 29% of 125)20% (won 12% of 109)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)36% (won 98% of 198)34% (won 58% of 283)21% (won 46% of 114)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 191)43% (won 69% of 354)33% (won 60% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)19% (won 100% of 107)7% (won 80% of 60)26% (won 82% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677BreakTheBank0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816surfandturf
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $6.4KNo $2.7K