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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | ndb1 | NM-P | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 82% (4870–1065, n=5935) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $4.6M | $41K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #99 | PM monthly #543 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 70% (48 of 69 open) | 60% (70 of 116 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | — | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | — | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | — | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | — | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | — | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | ndb1 | NM-P | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $591 | Under $506 |
| Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $443 | Over $126 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $26 | Over $130 |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | — | Clippers $535 | Clippers $268 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | — | Raptors $176 | Raptors $275 |