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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677northdrawersainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)59% (10851–7644, n=18495)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$47K$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #158was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position79% (102 of 129 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Weather −2 pts, n=942—
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%40% of 5327 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)56% (won 0% of 2980)0%
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)2% (won 44% of 129)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)4% (won 62% of 209)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)38% (won 96% of 2009)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.