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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | ndb1 | northdrawer | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 59% (10827–7630, n=18457) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $4.1M | $47K | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #162 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 76% (28 of 37 open) | 70% (63 of 90 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | Weather −2 pts, n=942 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 40% of 5327 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 56% (won 0% of 2980) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 2% (won 44% of 129) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 4% (won 62% of 209) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 38% (won 96% of 2009) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | ndb1 | northdrawer | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $93K | No $338 | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $60K | No $104 | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $4.0K | No $42 | — |