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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677northdrawer
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)45% (10–12, n=22)56% (11674–9286, n=20960)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$5.3M-$188K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #117
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)no open consensus position73% (78 of 107 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Mentions −4 pts, n=869
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%36% of 6835 at avg 39¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)61% (won 0% of 4160)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)6% (won 0% of 1)2% (won 47% of 137)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)65% (won 73% of 11)3% (won 61% of 233)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)34% (won 96% of 2305)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677northdrawer
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.3K—No $332