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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
kleomarcusjoseph00677ndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)63% (1696–1013, n=2709)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (862–456, n=1318)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$12K$5.6M$4.1M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #983PM monthly #2PM monthly #69PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position68% (49 of 72 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −3 pts, n=79—NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won65% of 2557 at avg 65¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 25% of 120)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 41% of 375)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 252)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 60% of 939)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 306)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 81% of 1123)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 540)5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.