Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
lma0o0o0o0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816RN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (1104–1098, n=2202)61% (495–321, n=816)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)
Consensus PnL$14K-$352K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #979was PM monthly #51PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position69% (9 of 13 open)57% (27 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • MMA +42 pts n=10, ROI +44%
  • NBA +12 pts n=43, ROI +6%
Weakest topicEsports −1 pts, n=1483Soccer ±0 pts, n=115—
Settled positions, side won51% of 1770 at avg 51¢, ROI 0%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 19% of 103)15% (won 29% of 125)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 41% of 650)34% (won 58% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢53% (won 58% of 932)43% (won 69% of 354)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 84% of 85)7% (won 80% of 60)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.