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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
lpgbRN1joseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)27% (187–502, n=689)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)50% (10–10, n=20)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$27K$13.4M$5.3M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #152PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #2was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus81% (93 of 115 open)83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position67% (4 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicMLB −4 pts, n=42——Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won16% of 258 at avg 22¢, ROI −7%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢79% (won 0% of 204)10% (won 57% of 2537)12% (won 0% of 2)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 13% of 8)22% (won 94% of 5518)6% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 62% of 13)36% (won 99% of 8928)65% (won 73% of 11)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up13% (won 91% of 33)32% (won 100% of 7821)18% (won 67% of 3)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.