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1F
Consensus PnL $28K · win rate 28% (186–476, n=662) · PM monthly #152 · holds 103 consensus positions
0x1f5f9fa3...7df850faPolymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$27.7K
Record
186W / 476L
Win Rate
28.0%
of 662 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2561
Source
PM monthly #152
Record (90 d)
48/303 · 16%
Trades
229
Markets
828
Volume
$484.7K
Top consensus positions
103 in listed consensus markets · 87 of 103 on the consensus side (84%)- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No $986 · now 89¢ · in at 89¢with the consensus (35% of 17)
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No $827 · now 27¢ · in at 28¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?No $303 · now 36¢ · in at 38¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?No $228 · now 14¢ · in at 15¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?No $197 · now 72¢ · in at 74¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No $165 · now 28¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No $99 · now 5¢ · in at 6¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?No $99 · now 71¢ · in at 72¢with the consensus (63% of 9)