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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| maxiforza | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (207–129, n=336) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 54% (225–189, n=414) |
| Consensus PnL | -$99K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $9.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #998 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 89% (128 of 144 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −5 pts, n=38 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 301 at avg 66¢, ROI +5% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 22% of 36) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 51% of 45) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 67% of 58) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 54% (won 93% of 162) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.