Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1primmstepanka1234
Record (consensus markets)65% (889–469, n=1358)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)79% (61–16, n=77)
Consensus PnL$4.2M$3.6M$35K
Tracked asPM monthly #140PM monthly #51PM monthly #614
Sides with the consensus73% (33 of 45 open)67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 51 at avg 78¢, ROI +20%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)0%
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)0%
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)22% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)78% (won 100% of 40)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.