← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1BreakTheBankbeachboy4joseph00677CORGII
| ndb1 | surfandturf | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (876–461, n=1337) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 61% (495–320, n=815) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.8M | $4.1M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #69 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (49 of 71 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 43% (3 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | surfandturf | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.7K | Yes $6.4K |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $159 | — | Yes $7.5K |