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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ojgtubvdtRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188pleaseplease123
Record (consensus markets)63% (673–403, n=1076)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)46% (131–154, n=285)49% (345–353, n=698)
Consensus PnL-$15K$13.4M$19.0M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #990PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #715was PM monthly #92
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +9 pts n=69, ROI +5%
  • NBA +2 pts n=79, ROI −3%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicEsports −1 pts, n=856—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174MLB −1 pts, n=694
Settled positions, side won65% of 1087 at avg 65¢, ROI 0%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 9% of 11)10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 17% of 6)0% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 42% of 144)22% (won 94% of 5518)42% (won 46% of 565)38% (won 43% of 266)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 60% of 532)36% (won 99% of 8928)57% (won 51% of 766)61% (won 54% of 426)
Entries 70¢ and up37% (won 81% of 400)32% (won 100% of 7821)0% (won 100% of 4)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.