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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pleaseplease123BreakTheBank0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816CORGII
Record (consensus markets)49% (346–353, n=699)45% (542–652, n=1194)61% (495–321, n=816)61% (395–248, n=643)
Consensus PnL-$857K$11.0M-$352K$194K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #92PM monthly #1was PM monthly #51PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position86% (134 of 156 open)75% (6 of 8 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMLB −1 pts, n=694—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115—
Settled positions, side won49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 82% of 56)15% (won 29% of 125)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 43% of 266)36% (won 98% of 198)34% (won 58% of 283)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢61% (won 54% of 426)35% (won 99% of 191)43% (won 69% of 354)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up0%19% (won 100% of 107)7% (won 80% of 60)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.