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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1BreakTheBankjoseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816CORGII
| realbengvir | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (18–16, n=34) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #870 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (26 of 30 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=10 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 76% of 21 at avg 79¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 0% of 3) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 0% of 2) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 100% of 16) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | realbengvir | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.6K | Yes $66 |