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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
slimjoeBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)51% (5207–4956, n=10163)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL-$70K$10.6M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)72% (79 of 110 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won96% of 5175 at avg 56¢, ROI +31%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 78% of 204)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 96% of 1858)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 96% of 2093)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 99% of 1020)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.