← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| smithagent | surfandturf | pleaseplease123 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (2570–2991, n=5561) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 49% (345–353, n=698) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6K | $4.1M | $3.2M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #873 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 88% (145 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer ±0 pts, n=1882 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 45% of 3206 at avg 44¢, ROI 0% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 46% (won 5% of 1489) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 38% of 284) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 64% of 318) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 93% of 1115) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.