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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| suntori | surfandturf | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10674–13008, n=23682) | 54% (225–189, n=414) | 46% (131–154, n=285) |
| Consensus PnL | $207K | $9.4M | $19.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #792 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (87 of 154 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −3 pts, n=3302 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 10150 at avg 43¢, ROI −2% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 9% of 3590) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 0% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 36% of 2197) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 42% (won 46% of 565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 59% of 2489) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 57% (won 51% of 766) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 88% of 1874) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | suntori | surfandturf | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $81 | No $2.7K | — |
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.5K | Yes $2.3K | — |