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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| thismonth | surfandturf | pleaseplease123 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 34% (585–1151, n=1736) | 54% (225–189, n=414) | 51% (196–192, n=388) | 61% (495–320, n=815) |
| Consensus PnL | -$1.9K | $9.4M | $5.0M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #676 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #92 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 714 at avg 35¢, ROI +9% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 43% (won 40% of 307) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 33% (won 74% of 238) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 88% of 129) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 95% of 40) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 0% | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | thismonth | surfandturf | pleaseplease123 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.7K | — | Yes $6.4K |