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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
vacoolaaaCORGII00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)68% (92–44, n=136)62% (393–245, n=638)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL-$52K$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus89% (16 of 18 open)0% (0 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicGeopolitics −16 pts, n=60——
Settled positions, side won66% of 187 at avg 68¢, ROI −2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 12% of 25)9% (won 92% of 36)0%
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 43% of 23)56% (won 99% of 223)0%
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 50% of 32)33% (won 100% of 133)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up57% (won 88% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.