Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
weeeskies0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1ndb1
Record (consensus markets)52% (738–668, n=1406)46% (131–154, n=285)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL$19K-$6.6M$14.8M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #871was PM monthly #715PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #69
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position56% (27 of 48 open)68% (48 of 71 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +4 pts n=66, ROI +3%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicTennis −4 pts, n=64College Basketball −12 pts, n=174—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won56% of 1252 at avg 54¢, ROI +2%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 21% of 170)0% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 41% of 400)42% (won 46% of 565)22% (won 94% of 5518)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 61% of 312)57% (won 51% of 766)36% (won 99% of 8928)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 84% of 370)0% (won 100% of 4)32% (won 100% of 7821)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.