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DE
Consensus PnL $24K · win rate 71% (24–10, n=34) · PM monthly #997 · holds 5 consensus positions
0xde5868f5...738af55cPolymarket
🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$24.3K
Record
24W / 10L
Win Rate
71.0%
of 34 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#718
Source
PM monthly #997
Trades
75
Markets
43
Volume
$595.3K
Top consensus positions
5 in listed consensus markets · 4 of 5 on the consensus side (80%)- Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes $15K · now 91¢ · in at 89¢with the consensus (71% of 14)
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo $15K · now 96¢ · in at 94¢with the consensus (72% of 72)
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes $6.4K · now 59¢ · in at 55¢against the consensus (No)
- Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No $5.4K · now 59¢ · in at 63¢with the consensus (44% of 16)
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes $4.7K · now 84¢ · in at 83¢with the consensus (72% of 48)
Specialties
26 settled consensus markets · held side won 96% at an average entry of 78¢- Soccer
+23 pts
side won 100% of 10 · avg entry 77¢
ROI +13%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 8%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 12%(won 67% of 3)
- 70¢ and up: 77%(won 100% of 20)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.