Consensus PnL $43K · win rate 67% (653–320, n=973) · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$42.9K
Record
653W / 320L
Win Rate
67.0%
of 973 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#889
Trades
168
Markets
1,221
Volume
$3.6M
Loading this trader’s full history
Large accounts take up to ~20 s
Loading positions and trades…
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 3 on the consensus side (0%)- Oilers vs. DevilsOilers $976 · now 48¢ · in at 41¢against the consensus (Devils)
- Hurricanes vs. PredatorsPredators $676 · now 65¢ · in at 35¢against the consensus (Hurricanes)
- Buffalo vs. Miami (OH)Buffalo $15 · now 22¢ · in at 31¢against the consensus (Miami (OH))
Specialties
774 settled consensus markets · held side won 82% at an average entry of 53¢- NBA
+49 pts
side won 99% of 202 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +48%
- College Football
+36 pts
side won 87% of 193 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +40%
- NFL
+26 pts
side won 83% of 63 · avg entry 56¢
ROI +27%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 8%(won 39% of 61)
- 30–50¢: 38%(won 84% of 295)
- 50–70¢: 38%(won 85% of 292)
- 70¢ and up: 16%(won 90% of 126)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.