Consensus PnL $6.7K · win rate 56% (371–294, n=665) · was PM monthly #878 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$6.7K
Record
371W / 294L
Win Rate
56.0%
of 665 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1392
Source
PM monthly #878
Trades
93
Markets
736
Volume
$806.5K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Spread: Rams (-6.5)Rams $1.7K · now 85¢ · in at 52¢with the consensus (48% of 24)
- Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville DolphinsJacksonville Dolphins $19 · now 54¢ · in at 64¢with the consensus (50% of 7)
Specialties
643 settled consensus markets · held side won 58% at an average entry of 54¢- Soccer
+23 pts
side won 81% of 21 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +30%
- College Football
+16 pts
side won 70% of 33 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +19%
- Esports
+3 pts
side won 55% of 214 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +2%
Weakest: MLB — held side won 27% of 11 at an average 55¢ entry (−27 pts against the price), ROI −36%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 22% of 18)
- 30–50¢: 29%(won 46% of 186)
- 50–70¢: 60%(won 61% of 384)
- 70¢ and up: 9%(won 84% of 55)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.