Consensus PnL $17K · win rate 75% (717–233, n=950) · PM monthly #835 · holds 3 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$16.5K
Record
717W / 233L
Win Rate
75.0%
of 950 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#574
Source
PM monthly #835
Record (90 d)
585/651 · 90%
Trades
9
Markets
971
Volume
$465.0K
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 3 on the consensus side (67%)- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes $275 · now 36¢ · in at 47¢against the consensus (No)
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)FaZe $260 · now 100¢ · in at 57¢with the consensus (60% of 42)
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group AFaZe $210 · now 38¢ · in at 29¢with the consensus (58% of 82)
Specialties
639 settled consensus markets · held side won 90% at an average entry of 58¢- Esports
+38 pts
side won 94% of 316 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +41%
- NBA
+32 pts
side won 87% of 82 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +35%
- Soccer
+27 pts
side won 87% of 103 · avg entry 60¢
ROI +30%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 85% of 13)
- 30–50¢: 23%(won 86% of 148)
- 50–70¢: 59%(won 90% of 376)
- 70¢ and up: 16%(won 94% of 102)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.