Consensus PnL $232K · win rate 49% (166–175, n=341) · PM monthly #145 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$232.2K
Record
166W / 175L
Win Rate
49.0%
of 341 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1846
Source
PM monthly #145
Trades
92
Markets
353
Volume
$1.8M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Spread: Bills (-3.5)Ravens $7.6K · now 54¢ · in at 53¢with the consensus (56% of 18)
- Chris Godwin Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5Over $1.1K · now 54¢ · in at 54¢with the consensus (60% of 5)
Specialties
199 settled consensus markets · held side won 88% at an average entry of 51¢- Soccer
+42 pts
side won 91% of 82 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +36%
- College Football
+41 pts
side won 94% of 50 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +46%
- NFL
+42 pts
side won 95% of 19 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +38%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 57% of 14)
- 30–50¢: 24%(won 79% of 47)
- 50–70¢: 68%(won 95% of 135)
- 70¢ and up: 2%(won 100% of 3)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.