Back to Traders
Consensus PnL -$13K · win rate 57% (94–70, n=164) · was PM monthly #926 · holds 6 consensus positions
0x9697b2ac...b5bd18e9Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-12.9K
Record
94W / 70L
Win Rate
57.0%
of 164 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1348
Source
PM monthly #926
Trades
53
Markets
216
Volume
$1.6M
Top consensus positions
6 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 6 on the consensus side (50%)- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Spirit $15K · now 43¢ · in at 41¢against the consensus (Team Yandex)
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ATeam Falcons $1.4K · now 56¢ · in at 57¢against the consensus (Natus Vincere)
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group BBetBoom Team $307 · now 64¢ · in at 64¢with the consensus (86% of 7)
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group AB8 $269 · now 39¢ · in at 39¢against the consensus (Heroic)
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group AFaZe $234 · now 32¢ · in at 28¢with the consensus (29% of 7)
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ALegacy $54 · now 53¢ · in at 52¢with the consensus (50% of 12)
Specialties
115 settled consensus markets · held side won 91% at an average entry of 55¢- Esports
+36 pts
side won 91% of 115 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +22%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 86% of 7)
- 30–50¢: 38%(won 86% of 44)
- 50–70¢: 28%(won 94% of 32)
- 70¢ and up: 28%(won 97% of 32)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.