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A2
Consensus PnL $165K · win rate 64% (1654–947, n=2601) · PM monthly #359 · holds 7 consensus positions
0xa20924e5...61f7ffbePolymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$165.2K
Record
1654W / 947L
Win Rate
64.0%
of 2601 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#962
Source
PM monthly #359
Trades
56
Markets
2,934
Volume
$1.4M
Top consensus positions
7 in listed consensus markets · 5 of 7 on the consensus side (71%)- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?No $1.2K · now 54¢ · in at 69¢with the consensus (76% of 32)
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?Yes $1.2K · now 31¢ · in at 41¢against the consensus (No)
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?No $321 · now 75¢ · in at 76¢with the consensus (50% of 11)
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-11-01?Yes $195 · now 61¢ · in at 57¢with the consensus (67% of 12)
- Will US Avellino 1912 win on 2026-11-01?Yes $59 · now 85¢ · in at 83¢with the consensus (60% of 5)
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-11-01?No $25 · now 86¢ · in at 78¢with the consensus (76% of 19)
- Will FC Baník Ostrava vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?No $22 · now 99¢ · in at 66¢against the consensus (Yes)
Specialties
1,142 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 71¢- Soccer
+29 pts
side won 100% of 1142 · avg entry 71¢
ROI +35%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 100% of 80)
- 30–50¢: 10%(won 100% of 109)
- 50–70¢: 21%(won 100% of 235)
- 70¢ and up: 63%(won 100% of 718)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.