Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Lorenzo Gagliardo — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Lorenzo Gagliardo
Villa Maria: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Ian Luca Vertberger
Resolved Lorenzo Gagliardo. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Lorenzo Gagliardo. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Lorenzo Gagliardo 17%
$337.33
$54.96
Smart Money Signal
2 of 10 top traders (20%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189 | Lorenzo Gagliardoavg 97¢ | $359.26 | $337.33 | -$21.93 | 47% 13029-14600 (27629) |
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100 | Ian Luca Vertbergeravg 3¢ | $27 | — | -$27 | 52% 5708-5272 (10980) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Ian Luca Vertbergeravg 3¢ | $11.02 | — | -$11.02 | 51% 17621-16621 (34242) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Ian Luca Vertbergeravg 3¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 47% 10059-11176 (21235) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Ian Luca Vertbergeravg 2.7¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 53% 6378-5764 (12142) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Ian Luca Vertbergeravg 2.5¢ | $0.63 | — | -$0.63 | 51% 1005-965 (1970) |
AU austr | Lorenzo Gagliardoavg 97¢ | $4.0K | $0 | +$119.59 | 63% 581-337 (918) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Ian Luca Vertbergeravg 13¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 48522-34672 (83194) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Ian Luca Vertbergeravg 3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 18394-14718 (33112) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Ian Luca Vertbergeravg 3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 58154-50376 (108530) |
Invested
$359.26
Value
$337.33
PnL
-$21.93
Record
47%
13029-14600 (27629)
Invested
$27
Value
—
PnL
-$27
Record
52%
5708-5272 (10980)
Invested
$11.02
Value
—
PnL
-$11.02
Record
51%
17621-16621 (34242)
Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
47%
10059-11176 (21235)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
53%
6378-5764 (12142)
Invested
$0.63
Value
—
PnL
-$0.63
Record
51%
1005-965 (1970)
Invested
$4,000
Value
$0
PnL
+$119.59
Record
63%
581-337 (918)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
48522-34672 (83194)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
18394-14718 (33112)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
58154-50376 (108530)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
38791873984189
Lorenzo Gagliardo — $337.33
CandleHammerDrums
CTRIan Luca Vertberger — $0
Flaznorp
CTRIan Luca Vertberger — $0
topdogbigboi
CTRIan Luca Vertberger — $0
HRTrading
CTRIan Luca Vertberger — $0
ferdinand2
CTRIan Luca Vertberger — $0
austr
Lorenzo Gagliardo — $0
UpTheBlues
CTRIan Luca Vertberger — $0
cigarettes
CTRIan Luca Vertberger — $0
RN1
CTRIan Luca Vertberger — $0