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Over
dips.CTR<$100OverUnderOver
rayvanmechelenCTR<$100OverOverUnder
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Holstein Kiel vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Under 17%
Total Value
$188.15
Combined PnL
-$115.44
Smart Money Signal
Under
2 of 7 top traders (29%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,080
Combined PnL-$173.22
Under2 traders
Total Value$188.15
Total Shares188
Combined PnL+$57.78
Over — 71%Under — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FO forrestgumperCTR | Overavg 19.5¢ | $102.22 | — | -$102.22 | 47% 673-750 (1423) |
dips.CTR<$100 | Overavg 11.1¢ | $46.45 | — | -$46.45 | 47% 11040-12658 (23698) |
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 69.9¢ | $131.6 | $188.15 | +$56.55 | 51% 27272-25818 (53090) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Overavg 8.4¢ | $16.18 | — | -$16.18 | 48% 1776-1912 (3688) |
rayvanmechelenCTR<$100 | Overavg 33¢ | $4.83 | — | -$6.96 | 53% 2714-2387 (5101) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Overavg 28¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 50% 1850-1866 (3716) |
AR ARocky33<$100 | Underavg 84.7¢ | $6.77 | — | +$1.23 | 76% 4579-1422 (6001) |
FO
forrestgumperCTRInvested
$102.22
Value
—
PnL
-$102.22
Record
47%
673-750 (1423)
dips.CTR<$100Invested
$46.45
Value
—
PnL
-$46.45
Record
47%
11040-12658 (23698)
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$131.6
Value
$188.15
PnL
+$56.55
Record
51%
27272-25818 (53090)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$16.18
Value
—
PnL
-$16.18
Record
48%
1776-1912 (3688)
rayvanmechelenCTR<$100Invested
$4.83
Value
—
PnL
-$6.96
Record
53%
2714-2387 (5101)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
50%
1850-1866 (3716)
AR
ARocky33<$100Invested
$6.77
Value
—
PnL
+$1.23
Record
76%
4579-1422 (6001)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x202bff79...9f755a
Slug
bl2-ksv-bie-2026-11-07-total-3pt5