Back to Markets
ToledoSacramento State
RN1Sacramento StateToledoToledo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Toledo — but Sacramento State won instead.
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
Resolved Sacramento State. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Toledo. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Toledo 60%
Total Value
$2.0K
Combined PnL
-$299.66
Smart Money Signal
Toledo
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Toledo0%
Sacramento State100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Toledo3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,593
Combined PnL$-1.3K
Sacramento State2 traders
Total Value$2.0K
Total Shares2,027
Combined PnL+$996.21
Toledo — 60%Sacramento State — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PR primmCTR | Toledoavg 50.2¢ | $1.1K | — | $-1.1K | 47% 1244-1422 (2666) |
JU justaluckydude | Sacramento Stateavg 49.2¢ | $568.32 | $1.2K | +$585.68 | 53% 11880-10404 (22284) |
RN1 | Sacramento Stateavg 53¢ | $462.55 | $873.08 | +$410.53 | 53% 60181-52537 (112718) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTR | Toledoavg 48¢ | $153.38 | — | -$153.38 | 56% 7920-6245 (14165) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Toledoavg 48¢ | $67.5 | — | -$67.5 | 47% 11225-12583 (23808) |
PR
primmCTRInvested
$1,074.99
Value
—
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
47%
1244-1422 (2666)
JU
justaluckydudeInvested
$568.32
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$585.68
Record
53%
11880-10404 (22284)
RN1Invested
$462.55
Value
$873.08
PnL
+$410.53
Record
53%
60181-52537 (112718)
0X
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872CTRInvested
$153.38
Value
—
PnL
-$153.38
Record
56%
7920-6245 (14165)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$67.5
Value
—
PnL
-$67.5
Record
47%
11225-12583 (23808)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xba211962...e75a3d
Slug
cfb-toledo-sacst-2026-11-04-spread-away-26pt5