Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.

M25 Vale do Lobo: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Joao Dinis Silva
3 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold Mario Gonzalez Fernandez (60%) · Mario Gonzalez Fernandez at 100¢ · $2K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
5
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez 60%
1 arb excluded
$2.3K
$233.88
Smart Money Signal
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() RN1 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandezavg 71¢ | $966.7 | $1.2K | +$188.8 | 58% 3749-2704 (6453) |
OM omnibus-076daaARB<$100 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandezavg 72.3¢ | $735.79 | $618.61 | -$117.18 | 35% 171-317 (488) |
| └ Mario Gonzalez Fernandez leg | Mario Gonzalez Fernandezavg 72.3¢ | $517.43 | $382.84 | -$134.59 | |
| └ Joao Dinis Silva leg | Joao Dinis Silvaavg 43.1¢ | $218.36 | $235.78 | +$17.42 | |
38 38791873984189 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandezavg 73.9¢ | $261.83 | $193.39 | -$68.44 | 48% 767-833 (1600) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR | Joao Dinis Silvaavg 35¢ | $113.51 | $150.8 | +$37.3 | 22% 85-293 (378) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Joao Dinis Silvaavg 20¢ | $56.01 | $130.22 | +$74.21 | 54% 1609-1354 (2963) |
![]() alpheclabs2<$100 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandezavg 84¢ | $84.42 | $86.43 | +$2.01 | 48% 67-74 (141) |
RN1Invested
$966.7
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$188.8
Record
58%
3749-2704 (6453)
Invested
$735.79
Value
$618.61
PnL
-$117.18
Record
35%
171-317 (488)
Both legs:
Invested
$261.83
Value
$193.39
PnL
-$68.44
Record
48%
767-833 (1600)
Invested
$113.51
Value
$150.8
PnL
+$37.3
Record
22%
85-293 (378)
Invested
$56.01
Value
$130.22
PnL
+$74.21
Record
54%
1609-1354 (2963)
alpheclabs2<$100Invested
$84.42
Value
$86.43
PnL
+$2.01
Record
48%
67-74 (141)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

RN1
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez — $1.2K
omnibus-076daa
ARBArbitrage — excluded
38791873984189
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez — $193.39
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
CTRJoao Dinis Silva — $150.8
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
CTRJoao Dinis Silva — $130.22

alpheclabs2
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez — $86.43