Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.

Kalmar FF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Over 57%
$3.1K
$-8.0K
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Overavg 55Β’ | $2.9K | β | $-2.9K | 50% 23449-23463 (46912) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Overavg 43.2Β’ | $4.9K | β | $-2.9K | 50% 32547-32694 (65241) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Overavg 53Β’ | $1.5K | β | $-2.7K | 51% 47136-44473 (91609) |
PE pelik | Underavg 99.9Β’ | $2.0K | $2.0K | +$2 | 99% 11205-137 (11342) |
![]() VeryLucky888 | Underavg 44Β’ | $264 | $600 | +$336 | 59% 52363-37089 (89452) |
![]() RN1 | Underavg 44Β’ | $261.7 | $498.63 | +$236.93 | 53% 70182-61748 (131930) |
SE sentrioCTR | Overavg 55Β’ | $135.09 | β | -$135.09 | 50% 27934-27381 (55315) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100 | Overavg 50Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 56% 195-151 (346) |
Invested
$2,904.9
Value
β
PnL
$-2.9K
Record
50%
23449-23463 (46912)
Invested
$4,944.89
Value
β
PnL
$-2.9K
Record
50%
32547-32694 (65241)
Invested
$1,543.67
Value
β
PnL
$-2.7K
Record
51%
47136-44473 (91609)
Invested
$2,002
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$2
Record
99%
11205-137 (11342)
VeryLucky888Invested
$264
Value
$600
PnL
+$336
Record
59%
52363-37089 (89452)
RN1Invested
$261.7
Value
$498.63
PnL
+$236.93
Record
53%
70182-61748 (131930)
Invested
$135.09
Value
β
PnL
-$135.09
Record
50%
27934-27381 (55315)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
195-151 (346)