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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Over β€” but Under won instead.

Kalmar FF vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5

Resolved Under. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Over 57%

Total Value

$3.1K

Combined PnL

$-8.0K

Smart Money Signal

Over

5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over0%
Under100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares9,734
Combined PnL$-8.6K
Under3 traders
Total Value$3.1K
Total Shares3,101
Combined PnL+$574.93
Over β€” 63%Under β€” 37%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xdceda658...67e8b9
Slug
swe-kal-sir-2026-11-08-total-2pt5
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