Consensus PnL $5.5K · win rate 52% (152–143, n=295) · was PM monthly #979 · holds 4 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$5.5K
Record
152W / 143L
Win Rate
52.0%
of 295 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1648
Source
PM monthly #979
Trades
30
Markets
300
Volume
$180.2K
Top consensus positions
4 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 4 on the consensus side (75%)- Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)Buccaneers $582 · now 49¢ · in at 49¢with the consensus (40% of 10)
- Spread: Bengals (-13.5)Bengals $515 · now 52¢ · in at 48¢with the consensus (60% of 10)
- Spread: Steelers (-3.5)Steelers $485 · now 51¢ · in at 50¢with the consensus (45% of 12)
- Cardinals vs. CowboysCardinals $189 · now 25¢ · in at 26¢against the consensus (Cowboys)
Specialties
138 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 51¢- College Football
+51 pts
side won 100% of 58 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +54%
- NFL
+49 pts
side won 100% of 40 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +49%
- Soccer
+48 pts
side won 100% of 30 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +47%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 100% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 33%(won 100% of 45)
- 50–70¢: 64%(won 100% of 89)
- 70¢ and up: 1%(won 100% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.