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91
Consensus PnL $2.6K · win rate 9% (55–550, n=605) · was PM monthly #547 · holds 71 consensus positions
0x9129619d...c275dd8ePolymarket
⚖️Arb🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$2.6K
Record
55W / 550L
Win Rate
9.0%
of 605 settled
Batting Avg
40.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2629
Source
PM monthly #547
Record (90 d)
50/269 · 19%
Trades
360
Markets
1,066
Volume
$196.5K
Top consensus positions
71 in listed consensus markets · 67 of 71 on the consensus side (94%)- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No $497 · now 86¢ · in at 86¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No $230 · now 78¢ · in at 79¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes $125 · now 36¢ · in at 37¢with the consensus (78% of 51)
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No $48 · now 59¢ · in at 65¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes $24 · now 38¢ · in at 43¢with the consensus (72% of 67)
- Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?Yes $19 · now 1¢ · in at 1¢with the consensus (100% of 11)
- Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?Yes $7 · now 0¢ · in at 1¢with the consensus (100% of 10)
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes $6 · now 3¢ · in at 3¢against the consensus (No)