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Consensus PnL -$33K · win rate 97% (1280–42, n=1322) · was PM monthly #729 · holds 26 consensus positions
0xf70eb753...f04981dfPolymarket
🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-32.6K
Record
1280W / 42L
Win Rate
97.0%
of 1322 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#114
Source
PM monthly #729
Trades
61
Markets
1,439
Volume
$4.1M
Top consensus positions
26 in listed consensus markets · 26 of 26 on the consensus side (100%)- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 1?Yes $14K · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (83% of 6)
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 26-November 1?No $3.3K · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (100% of 5)
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 October 26-November 1?No $3.2K · now 100¢ · in at 99¢with the consensus (100% of 6)
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 26-November 1?No $3.1K · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (86% of 7)
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 26-November 1?No $3.0K · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (100% of 8)
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 26-November 1?No $3.0K · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (100% of 7)
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 26-November 1?No $2.9K · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (100% of 6)
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 October 26-November 1?No $2.4K · now 100¢ · in at 100¢with the consensus (80% of 10)
Specialties
1,236 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 97¢- Crypto
+3 pts
side won 99% of 1236 · avg entry 97¢
ROI +2%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%(won 50% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 0%(won 67% of 6)
- 50–70¢: 1%(won 100% of 11)
- 70¢ and up: 98%(won 100% of 1215)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.