Back to Traders
12
Consensus PnL -$251K · win rate 98% (944–16, n=960) · was PM monthly #967 · holds 7 consensus positions
0x12952692...352b5cfdPolymarket
🐋Whale🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-250.8K
Record
944W / 16L
Win Rate
98.0%
of 960 settled
Batting Avg
53.8%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#99
Source
PM monthly #967
Trades
744
Markets
1,086
Volume
$27.2M
Top consensus positions
7 in listed consensus markets · 7 of 7 on the consensus side (100%)- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo $136K · now 96¢ · in at 91¢with the consensus (72% of 72)
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No $33K · now 95¢ · in at 86¢with the consensus (79% of 106)
- Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes $2.1K · now 94¢ · in at 89¢with the consensus (80% of 10)
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes $1.8K · now 95¢ · in at 89¢with the consensus (86% of 158)
- Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?Yes $448 · now 97¢ · in at 96¢with the consensus (75% of 8)
- Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat?Yes $435 · now 96¢ · in at 96¢with the consensus (80% of 5)
- Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes $400 · now 95¢ · in at 90¢with the consensus (100% of 5)
Specialties
1,023 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 98¢- Other Sports
+2 pts
side won 100% of 57 · avg entry 98¢
ROI +1%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 13% of 8)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%(won 25% of 4)
- 70¢ and up: 99%(won 100% of 1011)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.