Consensus PnL $34K · win rate 58% (150–110, n=260) · PM monthly #876 · holds 23 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$33.6K
Record
150W / 110L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 260 settled
Batting Avg
95.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#842
Source
PM monthly #876
Record (90 d)
43/126 · 34%
Trades
0
Markets
385
Volume
$36.6K
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Top consensus positions
23 in listed consensus markets · 12 of 23 on the consensus side (52%)- Spread: Woking FC (-5.5)Woking FC $690 · now 46¢ · in at 25¢against the consensus (Forest Green Rovers FC)
- Exact Score: FK LNZ Cherkasy 0 - 3 FK Kharkiv?No $458 · now 56¢ · in at 2¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under $316 · now 50¢ · in at 22¢with the consensus (46% of 15)
- Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 3 - 0 FK Polissia?No $204 · now 56¢ · in at 12¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Exact Score: FK LNZ Cherkasy 0 - 1 FK Kharkiv?Yes $184 · now 40¢ · in at 1¢with the consensus (80% of 5)
- Exact Score: CD Anaitasuna 0 - 3 Deportivo Alavés?Yes $125 · now 25¢ · in at 1¢with the consensus (100% of 5)
- Exact Score: FK LNZ Cherkasy 2 - 1 FK Kharkiv?Yes $112 · now 40¢ · in at 1¢with the consensus (80% of 5)
- Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia?Yes $111 · now 40¢ · in at 0¢with the consensus (80% of 5)
Specialties
66 settled consensus markets · held side won 32% at an average entry of 28¢- Soccer
+5 pts
side won 32% of 65 · avg entry 28¢
ROI +22%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 59%(won 23% of 39)
- 30–50¢: 24%(won 38% of 16)
- 50–70¢: 12%(won 63% of 8)
- 70¢ and up: 5%(won 33% of 3)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.