Consensus PnL $236K · win rate 56% (1794–1404, n=3198) · was PM monthly #921 · holds 9 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$236.4K
Record
1794W / 1404L
Win Rate
56.0%
of 3198 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1377
Source
PM monthly #921
Trades
440
Markets
3,335
Volume
$3.3M
Top consensus positions
9 in listed consensus markets · 5 of 9 on the consensus side (56%)- Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin VacherotValentin Vacherot $4.2K · now 75¢ · in at 31¢with the consensus (45% of 32)
- Spread: AD Cali (-1.5)AD Cali $2.6K · now 55¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (20% of 5)
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5Over $1.1K · now 88¢ · in at 46¢against the consensus (Under)
- Will Odds BK win on 2026-11-01?No $258 · now 28¢ · in at 37¢with the consensus (80% of 5)
- Will St. Truidense VV win on 2026-11-01?Yes $237 · now 62¢ · in at 46¢against the consensus (No)
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Club León FC $22 · now 69¢ · in at 66¢with the consensus (80% of 5)
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01?Yes $15 · now 17¢ · in at 17¢with the consensus (60% of 5)
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?Yes $4 · now 46¢ · in at 41¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
964 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 58¢- Soccer
+45 pts
side won 100% of 831 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +46%
- Tennis
+26 pts
side won 100% of 121 · avg entry 74¢
ROI +30%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 100% of 26)
- 30–50¢: 21%(won 100% of 201)
- 50–70¢: 59%(won 100% of 571)
- 70¢ and up: 17%(won 100% of 166)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.