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Consensus PnL $32K · win rate 94% (15–1, n=16) · PM monthly #428 · holds 7 consensus positions
0x2f28c1d2...f533ba03Polymarket
🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$32.1K
Record
15W / 1L
Win Rate
94.0%
of 16 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#188
Source
PM monthly #428
Trades
99
Markets
35
Volume
$211.3K
Top consensus positions
7 in listed consensus markets · 6 of 7 on the consensus side (86%)- Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes $46K · now 54¢ · in at 50¢with the consensus (43% of 14)
- Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes $34K · now 74¢ · in at 42¢with the consensus (40% of 10)
- Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes $13K · now 94¢ · in at 62¢with the consensus (45% of 11)
- Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes $13K · now 17¢ · in at 20¢with the consensus (50% of 8)
- Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Yes $11K · now 24¢ · in at 27¢with the consensus (33% of 9)
- Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes $8.3K · now 90¢ · in at 61¢with the consensus (44% of 9)
- Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes $1.8K · now 4¢ · in at 5¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
23 settled consensus markets · held side won 96% at an average entry of 88¢- Crypto
+8 pts
side won 96% of 23 · avg entry 88¢
ROI +7%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 9%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 91%(won 95% of 21)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.