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A8
Consensus PnL $40K · win rate 58% (777–559, n=1336) · PM monthly #763 · holds 288 consensus positions
0xa8b7f8b3...48a3ee3cPolymarket
⚖️Arb🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$40.4K
Record
777W / 559L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 1336 settled
Batting Avg
50.9%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1318
Source
PM monthly #763
Record (90 d)
103/197 · 52%
Trades
6,743
Markets
2,895
Volume
$7.5M
Top consensus positions
288 in listed consensus markets · 227 of 288 on the consensus side (79%)- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No $5.4K · now 47¢ · in at 44¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?No $4.2K · now 69¢ · in at 73¢with the consensus (22% of 50)
- Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No $3.3K · now 80¢ · in at 78¢with the consensus (55% of 64)
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes $2.8K · now 99¢with the consensus (89% of 54)
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No $2.7K · now 98¢ · in at 98¢with the consensus (74% of 61)
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes $2.4K · now 72¢ · in at 57¢with the consensus (82% of 116)
- Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No $2.3K · now 70¢ · in at 72¢with the consensus (83% of 6)
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No $2.1K · now 72¢ · in at 70¢with the consensus (75% of 97)