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9E
Consensus PnL $51K · win rate 63% (24–14, n=38) · PM monthly #447 · holds 5 consensus positions
0x9e7296fc...696599c4Polymarket
🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$51.5K
Record
24W / 14L
Win Rate
63.0%
of 38 settled
Batting Avg
91.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1044
Source
PM monthly #447
Trades
101
Markets
47
Volume
$545.0K
Top consensus positions
5 in listed consensus markets · 5 of 5 on the consensus side (100%)- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes $77K · now 99¢ · in at 79¢with the consensus (69% of 67)
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No $30K · now 74¢ · in at 72¢with the consensus (55% of 32)
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes $20K · now 73¢ · in at 73¢with the consensus (77% of 78)
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes $20K · now 71¢ · in at 71¢with the consensus (82% of 108)
- Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes $10K · now 82¢ · in at 82¢with the consensus (50% of 48)
Specialties
36 settled consensus markets · held side won 69% at an average entry of 65¢- Geopolitics
+9 pts
side won 77% of 31 · avg entry 69¢
ROI +18%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 14%(won 0% of 5)
- 30–50¢: 11%(won 0% of 4)
- 50–70¢: 17%(won 67% of 6)
- 70¢ and up: 58%(won 100% of 21)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.