Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
-Pain0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465S-Works
Record (consensus markets)62% (295–183, n=478)54% (4949–4167, n=9116)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$260K$8.5M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #673PM monthly #9PM monthly #66
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (10 of 20 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=136Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won69% of 452 at avg 56¢, ROI +10%59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 23% of 73)17% (won 11% of 1182)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 50% of 117)25% (won 46% of 1753)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 82% of 137)29% (won 66% of 2092)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 98% of 125)30% (won 91% of 2125)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.